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Category Archives: News
Could a second straight quarter of falling earnings signal a possible recession?
Even a sharp drop in U.S. second quarter earnings does not mean a recession will follow, explains Jim O’Sullivan.
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Stocks eke out another round of records
“For serious China watchers, the GDP headline is not very important,” explains Carl Weinberg.
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A rate cut won’t affect the economy much…
The Fed has laid the groundwork for a 25 basis point rate cut in July, says Jim O’Sullivan on Squawk Box.
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Economist Weinberg on Trump’s concession, Europe, China risks
Carl Weinberg shares his outlook for the global economy, and his expectations for the U.S.-China trade dispute, on Bloomberg Surveillance with Tom Keene.
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Chicago PMI falls into contraction in June
Jim O’Sullivan does not expect the U.S. ISM manufacturing index to slide into recession territory.
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U.S. government bond yields rebound on trade hopes
While the U.S. manufacturing sector has slowed significantly, the trends are not as weak as the headline data for May suggest, observes Jim O’Sullivan.
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Trump’s economic fall guy
On President Trump’s critique of the Fed, Jim O’Sullivan says, “I would like to see his monetary policy model. He must have a very low — negative — estimate for r-star (the neutral funds rate).”
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Is the U.S. already in a recession?
Jim O’Sullivan sees the slowdown in U.S. payrolls growth in May as normal volatility, not a sign of impending recession.
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Webinar: Fed to the rescue — whether needed or not?
Is the Fed being prescient or panicky? Join us for a webinar with Jim O’Sullivan on June 26.