Webinar: Europe on the Brink
Join us for no-holds-barred conversation with Chief Economist Carl Weinberg on the prospects for Britain and Europe as uncertainty and risk compound in the final months of the year.
Webinar: The Great Rebound — Vulnerable?
A no-holds-barred assessment of the economic depression, the rebound from the apparent nadir so far and prospects for the recent expansion to become self-sustaining as policy support for incomes and demand fades.
Webinar: Two-speed recovery?
If the global economy reached the point of maximum compression in April, what comes next?
Coronavirus: A statistician’s nightmare
Sampling errors related to coronavirus containment policies likely mean the economy has been hit harder that the data suggest.
The fiscal cliff, global edition
If the economies of the world undertake $6 trillion in deficit spending for fiscal stimulus this year, what happens next year, if the stimulus is not renewed or increased?
U.S. employment report: The good, the bad and the ugly
While the May bounce in payrolls was welcome, it barely made a dent in the road to job recovery.
HFE Webinar: Maximum Compression?
The global economy likely passed the point of maximum compression in April. Carl Weinberg and Rubeela Farooqi discuss prospects for recovery from the coronavirus-induced depression.
The unraveling of global financial markets
Market conditions today may be a signal that financial crisis and economic crisis have become entangled with epidemiological crisis.
ECB botches a policy opportunity
This is shaping up to be a really bad day for financial markets, made worse by another botching of a policy opportunity by the ECB.
Posts Navigation
Will a post-pandemic rebound, super-charged by massive monetary and fiscal stimulus, inevitably lead to runaway inflation? @cbweinberg and @RubeelaFarooqi will have the answers in our webinar today! https://t.co/rh0eLJggSX
Fed Chair Powell is likely to add his support to calls for more fiscal aid, rather than less, but he is unlikely to comment on the size. To avoid a further scarring, the US economy needs a bridge between March and whenever the virus can be contained.
With the Euro Zone economy heading into a double dip, the ECB is out of options: https://t.co/ythvVjk8Uw
Moving Davos online this year cuts the strings that bind the discussions to European agendas, and the special WEF meeting in May moves the event into Asia time zones and spheres influence. Until Team Biden can reengage in the global policy convo, China has the stage to itself.
The US participation rate for prime-age women has been falling faster than men, and women accounted for the entire drop in payrolls in Dec: A net job loss for women of 156K was partially offset by a 16K gain for men. We're not sure what this means for investors, but we are wary.