Carl Weinberg for Citizens Bank
Carl Weinberg's presentation on China's economic outlook.
The meaning of negative interest rates
Yields on 10-year JGBs and Bunds are approaching zero. But the meaning of near-negative interest rates is different in Japan than in Germany.
Sad day for the global economy
While the United States fights a futile trade war with China, the rest of the world loses.
Whose inflation forecast do you believe?
The ECB's plan for ending asset purchases hinges on a questionable CPI forecast.
What is unsustainable is unlikely to be sustained?
Maybe the U.S. economy can sustain an unemployment rate as low as 3.5% without a persistent upward bias to inflation, but we are highly skeptical.
Could Iran sanctions advance yuan globalization?
In principle, Iran could sell its oil for yuan, running the transactions through China-based financial institutions, futures markets and clearing institutions.
Where have the world’s consumers gone?
Low wage growth may morph from an inexplicable aspect of the current economic setting to a driving force behind a credit crunch and broad contraction of aggregate demand.
Credit drought is killing Euro Zone expansion
It is both cheap and easy to blame the Q1 slowdown on bad weather. The real culprit is credit.
Removing stimulus versus becoming restrictive
The possible need for policy to get restrictive, not just neutral, is likely to become a regular talking point for Fed officials in the months ahead.
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Discussed the economy and markets on @SquawkCNBC with @BeckyQuick and also @Phil_J_Orlando this morning
https://t.co/AeAgjEzdlc
Discussed the economy and markets on @SquawkCNBC with @BeckyQuick and also @Phil_J_Orlando this morning
https://t.co/AeAgjEzdlc
Congrats and best of luck with the new firm!
@ntengler @rinsana @KennyPolcari
Provocative and thoughtful article on Northern Ireland by @davidmcw
Family dinner debates are like candied yams: inevitable at Thanksgiving. If you end up talking economics this year, we've got your back. (1/3) https://t.co/DErAEEUdJa