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Latest News & Insights
Webinar: Two-lane global rebound—without inflation?
February 9, 2021
Will a post-pandemic rebound, super-charged by massive monetary and fiscal stimulus, inevitably lead to runaway inflation? Join us for answers in our next webinar.
ECB: Out of options
January 25, 2021
Until and unless the ECB wants to start easing capital adequacy requirements, it is stuck.
Oil prices and the illusion of inflation
January 11, 2021
We are skeptical that expectations of a post-pandemic surge of inflation will be realized, but markets may mistake an oil price basis effect for inflation.
Will a post-pandemic rebound, super-charged by massive monetary and fiscal stimulus, inevitably lead to runaway inflation? @cbweinberg and @RubeelaFarooqi will have the answers in our webinar today! https://t.co/rh0eLJggSX
Fed Chair Powell is likely to add his support to calls for more fiscal aid, rather than less, but he is unlikely to comment on the size. To avoid a further scarring, the US economy needs a bridge between March and whenever the virus can be contained.
With the Euro Zone economy heading into a double dip, the ECB is out of options: https://t.co/ythvVjk8Uw
Moving Davos online this year cuts the strings that bind the discussions to European agendas, and the special WEF meeting in May moves the event into Asia time zones and spheres influence. Until Team Biden can reengage in the global policy convo, China has the stage to itself.
The US participation rate for prime-age women has been falling faster than men, and women accounted for the entire drop in payrolls in Dec: A net job loss for women of 156K was partially offset by a 16K gain for men. We're not sure what this means for investors, but we are wary.