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Latest News & Insights


 

The meaning of negative interest rates

Yields on 10-year JGBs and Bunds are approaching zero.  But the meaning of near-negative interest rates is different in Japan than in Germany.

New York Times

Soybean surge makes Trump’s trade war look deceptively good

China will have no problem replacing tariffed imports of U.S. oil and petroleum products, says Carl Weinberg:  “U.S. producers will have to scramble to find new customers.”
Click here to read.

What is unsustainable is unlikely to be sustained?

Maybe the U.S. economy can sustain an unemployment rate as low as 3.5% without a persistent upward bias to inflation, but we are highly skeptical. 

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