Webinar: Europe on the Brink

Join us for no-holds-barred conversation with Chief Economist Carl Weinberg on the prospects for Britain and Europe as uncertainty and risk compound in the final months of the year.

Webinar: The Great Rebound — Vulnerable?

A no-holds-barred assessment of the economic depression, the rebound from the apparent nadir so far and prospects for the recent expansion to become self-sustaining as policy support for incomes and demand fades.

Webinar: Two-speed recovery?

If the global economy reached the point of maximum compression in April, what comes next?

HFE Webinar: Maximum Compression?

The global economy likely passed the point of maximum compression in April. Carl Weinberg and Rubeela Farooqi discuss prospects for recovery from the coronavirus-induced depression.

Emergency webinar (REPLAY): Covid-19’s global economic impact

Join us Thursday an hour of economic theory, factual evidence and experience-based assessment of how this crisis might evolve.

Webinar Replay: Calendar changes, economic woes increase?

In the new year, the headwinds to global economic growth—trade uncertainties, rising inventories, stopped out monetary policy—are set to become even more daunting.

Rubeela Farooqi joins HFE as Chief U.S. Economist

High Frequency Economics is pleased to announced Rubeela Farooqi as our new Chief U.S. Economist. John Silvia is also joining the firm as advisor and research contributor.
Click here for details.

The 7 best bond funds for retirement savers in 2020

According to Carl Weinberg, a bond with a negative yield is worth less than "a bag of dirt in your basement."
Click here to read.

China says tariffs will come down if trade deal reached with U.S.

Carl Weinberg warns not to celebrate a U.S.-China trade deal until one is actually signed and sealed.
Click here to read.

Things aren’t looking great for China’s economy

“It seems to us that in a world where average GDP growth is barely over 3%, China’s growth rate of 6% is not too shabby,” says Carl Weinberg.
Click here to read.


If the economies of the world undertake $6 trillion in deficit spending for fiscal stimulus this year, what happens next year, if the stimulus is not renewed or increased?https://t.co/n6E9nrfVFL

Mobility data suggest China's economy reached the point of maximum compression at end-February, six weeks before the US and EU economies came to a full stop. Barring a second wave of infections the recovery should continue... so we'll be watching the Beijing outbreak carefully.

Catch @cbweinberg on Bloomberg Radio at 10:45 EDT today with @ptsweeney and @lisaabramowicz1.

The U.S. economy may have moved past the point of maximum compression in May, but the destruction to incomes and household balance sheets from permanent job losses will cause lasting harm to consumers, the backbone of the economy.

Sampling errors related to coronavirus containment policies likely mean the economy has been hit harder that the data suggest.