Webinar: Hoping For A Short And Shallow Rough Patch

The momentum of most advanced economies slowed in 2018, and that trajectory seems to be extending into early 2019. Join Carl Weinberg and Jim O'Sullivan for an assessment of the outlook.

Webinar: Global Slowdown – Blossoming Or All But Done?

Join Carl Weinberg for a discussion of the causes of the current global economic slowdown, the prospects for recovery and the implications for financial markets.

Jim O'Sullivan - High Frequency Economics

Jim O’Sullivan: Forecaster of the Year for the 11th time!

"Tom Brady is the Jim O'Sullivan of football," says MarketWatch's Rex Nutting.  O'Sullivan won MarketWatch’s Forecaster of the Year award for 2018—his eight consecutive win and eleventh in the last 15 years.  
Click here to read.

Webinar: Clouds On The Horizon Or Just A Passing Fog?

Carl Weinberg and Jim O'Sullivan evaluate the darkening outlook for the global economy in 2019.
Click here for details.

Carl Weinberg, Jim O'Sullivan

Upcoming events: January

Coming up: Global webinar on the 2019 outlook and UK roadshow.
Click here for details.

U.S. labor market tightening; inflation pressures muted

Still-low jobless claims should lessen fears about the U.S. labor market weakening significantly.
Click here to read.

Overall economy ‘looks solid’

Jim O'Sullivan says the U.S. economy looks solid, despite some signs of moderation.
Click here to view the clip.

How to spot job layoffs coming, even in a good economy

Even in a strong U.S. labor market, there are sectors and companies having cyclical troubles, explains Jim O'Sullivan.
Click here to read.

The best way to predict the future of rates

Jim O'Sullivan expects the U.S. economy will continue to create enough jobs to keep the Fed tightening.
Click here to read.

Rise in layoffs points to slowing economic growth

In the U.S., Jim O'Sullivan sees "some loss of momentum in what has been a strong labor market."
Click here to read.


Oil prices are still lower than a year ago; stall likely to persist as U.S. tight oil production surges

Click here for a free trial to HFE’s Daily Notes on the Global Economy https://t.co/FKcdoLOYHg

#Australia’s #jobless rate jiggled up to 5.2% in April, higher than expected! Don’t worry, HFE thinks it’s just noise

Click here for a free trial to HFE’s Daily Notes on the Global Economy https://t.co/FKcdoLOYHg

One month of soft data from #china will no more spark Beijing to fiscal or monetary stimulus than a sour production report for the USA would move the #Fed or #Congress. Demand stimulus is of limited use in emerging economies.

Aggregate wage income growth in the #UK is too low to support retail spending

Click here for a free trial to HFE’s Daily Notes on the Global Economy https://t.co/FKcdoLOYHg

China’s holdings of U.S. securities are falling. China makes USA pay for tariffs by using dollars less for trade, sales to Europe are paid in Euros. Dollar’s reserve role is at risk when world’s biggest exporter stops using it. #china #chinatrade #ChinaTariffs #ChinaUS