If central banks adopt a return to full employment as the criteria for withdrawing stimulus from the economy, then lift-off of interest rates is still years away for most of the world’s major economies.
Tag Archives: Carl Weinberg
China’s slumping demographic dividend
China has become more focused on projecting economic power to emerging-economy allies. It is time to recalibrate our expectations to match China’s outward-looking ambitions.
Webinar: Post-pandemic reconstruction
We know that the economies of the world are suffering from a resurgence Covid cases and new lockdowns to contain the spread. So why are the economic data generally pointing to a continuing rebound, not a new crash of output, employment and spending? What lies ahead in the new year, as the world’s economies attempt […]
A catastrophic reorganization of Britain’s economy
Britain’s economy is ill positioned to endure the incremental shock of a “hard” departure from the EU trade zone. It was sliding into recession before the pandemic hit
Coronavirus: A statistician’s nightmare
Sampling errors related to coronavirus containment policies likely mean the economy has been hit harder that the data suggest.
The fiscal cliff, global edition
If the economies of the world undertake $6 trillion in deficit spending for fiscal stimulus this year, what happens next year, if the stimulus is not renewed or increased?
The unraveling of global financial markets
Market conditions today may be a signal that financial crisis and economic crisis have become entangled with epidemiological crisis.
BoE saves the day; ECB next?
The BoE’s bold moves give us some hope that the ECB will lower capital adequacy standards to finally unleash some lending on a credit-starved economy.
Emergency webinar (REPLAY): Covid-19’s global economic impact
Join us Thursday an hour of economic theory, factual evidence and experience-based assessment of how this crisis might evolve.
Coronavirus threat is probably worse than you think
We see the key risk for financial market participants worldwide coming from the vulnerability of China’s financial sector.