Yields on 10-year JGBs and Bunds are approaching zero. But the meaning of near-negative interest rates is different in Japan than in Germany.
While the United States fights a futile trade war with China, the rest of the world loses.
The ECB’s plan for ending asset purchases hinges on a questionable CPI forecast.
In principle, Iran could sell its oil for yuan, running the transactions through China-based financial institutions, futures markets and clearing institutions.
Low wage growth may morph from an inexplicable aspect of the current economic setting to a driving force behind a credit crunch and broad contraction of aggregate demand.
It is both cheap and easy to blame the Q1 slowdown on bad weather. The real culprit is credit.
Contrary to popular belief, we do not hate Markit or its PMIs. We just do not trust them to inform us about what the economy is up to.
Foreigners will need access to high-quality yuan assets—liquid and market-priced—if they are to be induced to hold yuan reserves.
Could a sales tax hike in October 2019 help the BoJ finally reach its inflation goal?
Japan’s economy faces a cyclical threat from a massive inventory run-up, on top of its secular decay due to depopulation.