Could a sales tax hike in October 2019 help the BoJ finally reach its inflation goal?
Could a rise in the U.S. labor market participation rate help stop the uptrend in inflation? Not likely.
There is no way to know the precise level, and it can change over time.
Japan’s economy faces a cyclical threat from a massive inventory run-up, on top of its secular decay due to depopulation.
With under a year to go and no part of any agreement nailed down, things are not going well. It is time to speak to the consequences of that.
We have been—and still are—quite positive on the U.S. economy, but could trade warmongering derail the outlook?
How much do changes in oil prices and exchange rates affect inflation? Not much.
Is the U.S. economy headed for recession in the next year, and can we trust the LEI to give us an early warning?
What good are productivity gains when demand is doomed to shrink with the population?
When should we start worrying about recession risks? What should we be watching? Jim O’Sullivan will have the answers.